Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Moritz Jenz remove | Lautaro Valenti remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 27 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga | Parma Calcio 1913 · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1372 | 1374 |
| League minutes | 1789 (59%) | 2251 (66%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 66 | 56 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.9M – €4.9M | €750k – €2.0M |
| Model value | €1.9M – €9.9M | €1.2M – €5.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €4.9M | €935k – €3.1M |
| Bargain Index | 82/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €4.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €9.9M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €4.9M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€750k – €2.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €5.4M Projected value (24 months)€935k – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Moritz Jenz and Lautaro Valenti
- Valenti is estimated to cost far less (€1.0M vs €2.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Valenti (Bargain Index 97 vs 82) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.