Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| João Silva remove | Nikita Kakkoev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | CD Tondela · Liga Portugal | FK Nizhny Novgorod · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1194 | 1176 |
| League minutes | 996 (33%) | 1176 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 20 | 23 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €734k – €1.4M | €235k – €612k |
| Model value | €398k – €767k | €498k – €837k |
| Projected value (24m) | €598k – €1.5M | €400k – €1.0M |
| Bargain Index | 59/100 | 84/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€734k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€398k – €767k Projected value (24 months)€598k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€235k – €612k Model value (performance-implied)€498k – €837k Projected value (24 months)€400k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates João Silva and Nikita Kakkoev
- Kakkoev is estimated to cost far less (€314k vs €891k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Kakkoev (Bargain Index 84 vs 59) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Silva High, Kakkoev Very High.