Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Willem Geubbels remove | Sambou Soumano remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Paris FC · Ligue 1 | FC Lorient · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1454 | 1420 |
| League minutes | 1012 (33%) | 928 (30%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 46 | 41 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.9M – €7.2M | €2.0M – €5.2M |
| Model value | €2.0M – €4.5M | €1.4M – €3.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €6.8M | €1.7M – €5.0M |
| Bargain Index | 22/100 | 35/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.2M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €4.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €6.8M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €3.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €5.0M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Willem Geubbels and Sambou Soumano
- On value for money the model prefers Soumano (Bargain Index 35 vs 22) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Geubbels High, Soumano Moderate.