Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Samuele Ricci remove | Matt O'Riley remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | AC Milan · Serie A | Olympique Marseille · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1570 | 1527 |
| League minutes | 1297 (38%) | 942 (28%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 79 | 72 |
| Market value | €22.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €14.0M – €26.9M | €10.9M – €22.0M |
| Model value | €6.7M – €28.6M | €4.6M – €15.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €10.6M – €25.9M | €7.4M – €23.5M |
| Bargain Index | 36/100 | 23/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€14.0M – €26.9M Model value (performance-implied)€6.7M – €28.6M Projected value (24 months)€10.6M – €25.9M Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€10.9M – €22.0M Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €15.0M Projected value (24 months)€7.4M – €23.5M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Samuele Ricci and Matt O'Riley
- On value for money the model prefers Ricci (Bargain Index 36 vs 23) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.