Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Brennan Johnson remove | Dwight McNeil remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 26 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Crystal Palace · Premier League | Everton FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1580 | 1556 |
| League minutes | 1723 (50%) | 1169 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 91 | 89 |
| Market value | €30.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.4M – €37.1M | €6.9M – €17.5M |
| Model value | €24.6M – €43.0M | €13.8M – €28.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €15.9M – €40.7M | €7.2M – €17.0M |
| Bargain Index | 45/100 | 76/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.4M – €37.1M Model value (performance-implied)€24.6M – €43.0M Projected value (24 months)€15.9M – €40.7M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.9M – €17.5M Model value (performance-implied)€13.8M – €28.0M Projected value (24 months)€7.2M – €17.0M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Brennan Johnson and Dwight McNeil
- Johnson was used far more by the club (50% of minutes vs 34%).
- McNeil is estimated to cost far less (€9.2M vs €25.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers McNeil (Bargain Index 76 vs 45) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Johnson Moderate, McNeil High.