Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Josko Gvardiol remove | Ian Maatsen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Manchester City · Premier League | Aston Villa · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1809 | 1721 |
| League minutes | 1374 (40%) | 1599 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 98 | 93 |
| Market value | €70.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €47.9M – €106M | €18.8M – €41.5M |
| Model value | €44.1M – €74.7M | €22.2M – €35.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €37.1M – €79.1M | €20.2M – €41.2M |
| Bargain Index | 6/100 | 20/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€47.9M – €106M Model value (performance-implied)€44.1M – €74.7M Projected value (24 months)€37.1M – €79.1M Dashed line: current market value (€70.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €41.5M Model value (performance-implied)€22.2M – €35.0M Projected value (24 months)€20.2M – €41.2M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Josko Gvardiol and Ian Maatsen
- Maatsen is estimated to cost far less (€32.8M vs €80.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Maatsen (Bargain Index 20 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.