Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Manuel Ugarte remove | Lamare Bogarde remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 22 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Manchester United · Premier League | Aston Villa · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1715 | 1721 |
| League minutes | 881 (26%) | 1048 (31%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 89 | 86 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €16.0M – €36.9M | €14.3M – €27.4M |
| Model value | €19.9M – €36.4M | €14.5M – €31.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €13.6M – €26.7M | €13.1M – €35.3M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 49/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 15% |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€16.0M – €36.9M Model value (performance-implied)€19.9M – €36.4M Projected value (24 months)€13.6M – €26.7M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€14.3M – €27.4M Model value (performance-implied)€14.5M – €31.9M Projected value (24 months)€13.1M – €35.3M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Manuel Ugarte and Lamare Bogarde
- Bogarde is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Risk differs: Ugarte High, Bogarde Moderate.