Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Alexandre Penetra removeGabriel Pereira remove
Age2426
PositionCentre-backCentre-back
Club · leagueAZ Alkmaar · EredivisieFC Copenhagen · Superliga
League strength0.430.47
Team strength (Elo)13931359
League minutes2847 (93%)1765 (89%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.100.05
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.060.04
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile5843
Market value€10.0M€6.0M
Estimated acquisition€6.1M – €12.9M€2.9M – €8.2M
Model value€1.7M – €8.1M€695k – €4.6M
Projected value (24m)€5.1M – €16.3M€3.1M – €7.4M
Bargain Index41/10051/100
DevelopmentModerateLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€6.1M – €12.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €8.1M
Projected value (24 months)€5.1M – €16.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €8.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€695k – €4.6M
Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €7.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Alexandre Penetra and Gabriel Pereira

  • Pereira is estimated to cost far less (€4.7M vs €9.0M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Pereira (Bargain Index 51 vs 41) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.