Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Cherif Ndiaye remove | Koki Ogawa remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Samsunspor · Super Lig | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1310 | 1362 |
| League minutes | 1422 (47%) | 1274 (42%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.63 | 0.85 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 34 | 33 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.6M – €5.6M | €558k – €1.8M |
| Model value | €417k – €1.8M | €610k – €1.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €3.3M | €678k – €2.1M |
| Bargain Index | 6/100 | 75/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €5.6M Model value (performance-implied)€417k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€558k – €1.8M Model value (performance-implied)€610k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€678k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Cherif Ndiaye and Koki Ogawa
- Ogawa is estimated to cost far less (€744k vs €2.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ogawa (Bargain Index 75 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ndiaye Moderate, Ogawa High.