Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nico González remove | Thiago Almada remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 25 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | Atlético de Madrid · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1619 | 1619 |
| League minutes | 1471 (43%) | 1312 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 82 | 69 |
| Market value | €22.0M | €15.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €12.4M – €23.1M | €8.5M – €18.8M |
| Model value | €10.1M – €22.8M | €5.1M – €17.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.2M – €15.2M | €8.0M – €23.9M |
| Bargain Index | 1/100 | 29/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€12.4M – €23.1M Model value (performance-implied)€10.1M – €22.8M Projected value (24 months)€5.2M – €15.2M Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€8.5M – €18.8M Model value (performance-implied)€5.1M – €17.4M Projected value (24 months)€8.0M – €23.9M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nico González and Thiago Almada
- Almada is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Almada (Bargain Index 29 vs 1) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: González Low, Almada Moderate.