Nico González
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nico González's performance-implied value at EUR 10.1M-22.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.4M-23.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.2M-15.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.62x the positional average in the league (1471 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 1
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 82.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 28.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €17.5M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -61% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1471 (43% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.31
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.25
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 82 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1619
- Opponent strength
- 1488
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.2M – €15.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; role change RW -> LW.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -59% (IQR -63% to -56%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1471 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Atlético de Madrid | Laliga | LW | 24 | 1454 | 43% | 5 | 0 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 1488 | 1619 | 0.95 |
| 2025/26 | Juventus FC | Serie A | LW | 2 | 17 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1382 | 1614 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Juventus FC | Serie A | RW | 26 | 1764 | 52% | 3 | 2 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 1498 | 1629 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RW | 29 | 1913 | 56% | 12 | 2 | 0.66 | 0.50 | 1499 | 1583 | 0.98 |
| 2022/23 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RW | 24 | 1354 | 40% | 6 | 1 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 1456 | 1597 | 0.94 |
| 2021/22 | ACF Fiorentina | Serie A | RW | 33 | 2361 | 69% | 7 | 7 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 1466 | 1470 | 0.89 |
| 2020/21 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | ST | 15 | 935 | 31% | 6 | 2 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 1552 | 1462 | 1.06 |
| 2018/19 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | ST | 30 | 2162 | 71% | 2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 1508 | 1402 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Atlético de Madrid | 11 | 394 | 0 | 0 | 1711 |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Argentina | 2 | 60 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Juventus FC | 6 | 364 | 1 | 1 | 1622 |
| 2024/25 | Italy Cup | Juventus FC | 2 | 84 | 1 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Supercoppa Italiana | Juventus FC | 1 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1641 |
| 2023/24 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 180 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 180 | 2 | 0 | 1463 |
| 2022/23 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 379 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | ACF Fiorentina | 2 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 1470 |
| 2021/22 | Italy Cup | ACF Fiorentina | 6 | 337 | 1 | 2 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 151 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Politano Serie A · 2022 | 29 | €20.0M | €13.0M | fell |
| Emmanuel Adebayor Premier League · 2013 | 29 | €13.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Wilfried Bony Premier League · 2016 | 28 | €23.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Gelson Martins Ligue 1 · 2022 | 27 | €15.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Ángel Correa Laliga · 2024 | 29 | €18.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Jonathan Ikoné Serie A · 2024 | 26 | €10.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Yussuf Poulsen Bundesliga · 2022 | 28 | €14.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Ayoze Pérez Premier League · 2021 | 28 | €18.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Atlético | Juventus | Free / loan | €22.0M |
| 1 Sept 2025 | Juventus | Atlético | Free / loan | €24.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Fiorentina | Juventus | €28.1M | €24.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Juventus | Fiorentina | Free / loan | €24.0M |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Fiorentina | Juventus | Free / loan | €35.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Stuttgart | Fiorentina | €27.4M | €22.0M |
| 10 Jul 2018 | Argentinos Jrs. | Stuttgart | €11.3M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Argentinos U20 | Argentinos Jrs. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.