Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Francisco Conceição remove | Diego López remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Juventus FC · Serie A | Valencia CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1614 | 1497 |
| League minutes | 2098 (61%) | 1763 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 81 | 75 |
| Market value | €30.0M | €9.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €20.9M – €39.0M | €5.5M – €11.2M |
| Model value | €16.8M – €38.4M | €7.9M – €31.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €20.0M – €40.9M | €4.1M – €15.2M |
| Bargain Index | 20/100 | 50/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€20.9M – €39.0M Model value (performance-implied)€16.8M – €38.4M Projected value (24 months)€20.0M – €40.9M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.5M – €11.2M Model value (performance-implied)€7.9M – €31.4M Projected value (24 months)€4.1M – €15.2M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Francisco Conceição and Diego López
- López is estimated to cost far less (€7.9M vs €30.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers López (Bargain Index 50 vs 20) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Conceição Low, López Moderate.