Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ao Tanaka remove | Ilia Gruev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Leeds United · Premier League | Leeds United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1521 | 1521 |
| League minutes | 1318 (39%) | 1324 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 79 | 80 |
| Market value | €13.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €6.5M – €14.2M | €5.5M – €11.8M |
| Model value | €5.2M – €16.0M | €4.9M – €16.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.2M – €13.6M | €6.6M – €17.4M |
| Bargain Index | 21/100 | 90/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€6.5M – €14.2M Model value (performance-implied)€5.2M – €16.0M Projected value (24 months)€5.2M – €13.6M Dashed line: current market value (€13.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.5M – €11.8M Model value (performance-implied)€4.9M – €16.8M Projected value (24 months)€6.6M – €17.4M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ao Tanaka and Ilia Gruev
- On value for money the model prefers Gruev (Bargain Index 90 vs 21) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.