Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Evann Guessand remove | Dwight McNeil remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 26 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Aston Villa · Premier League | Everton FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1674 | 1556 |
| League minutes | 916 (27%) | 1169 (34%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 85 | 89 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €16.1M – €33.5M | €6.9M – €17.5M |
| Model value | €21.0M – €42.3M | €13.8M – €28.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €15.0M – €31.2M | €7.2M – €17.0M |
| Bargain Index | 32/100 | 76/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€16.1M – €33.5M Model value (performance-implied)€21.0M – €42.3M Projected value (24 months)€15.0M – €31.2M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.9M – €17.5M Model value (performance-implied)€13.8M – €28.0M Projected value (24 months)€7.2M – €17.0M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Evann Guessand and Dwight McNeil
- McNeil is estimated to cost far less (€9.2M vs €25.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers McNeil (Bargain Index 76 vs 32) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Guessand Moderate, McNeil High.