Evann Guessand

The model rates Evann Guessand's performance-implied value at EUR 21.0M-42.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 16.1M-33.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.0M-31.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.71x the positional average in the league (916 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

916 (27% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.20

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.20

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

85 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1674

Opponent strength

1573

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€15.0M – €31.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 57 pts; changed club; team strength up (+152 Elo); league level up (+149 Elo); relative output down 43% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -41% to +10%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 916 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.