Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Riccardo Calafiori remove | Piero Hincapié remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 24 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Arsenal FC · Premier League | Arsenal FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1876 | 1864 |
| League minutes | 1708 (50%) | 1882 (55%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 95 | 98 |
| Market value | €55.0M | €50.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €37.1M – €75.9M | €31.3M – €72.2M |
| Model value | €26.9M – €41.9M | €35.8M – €72.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €28.8M – €59.5M | €29.2M – €62.9M |
| Bargain Index | 10/100 | 25/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€37.1M – €75.9M Model value (performance-implied)€26.9M – €41.9M Projected value (24 months)€28.8M – €59.5M Dashed line: current market value (€55.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€31.3M – €72.2M Model value (performance-implied)€35.8M – €72.2M Projected value (24 months)€29.2M – €62.9M Dashed line: current market value (€50.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Riccardo Calafiori and Piero Hincapié
- On value for money the model prefers Hincapié (Bargain Index 25 vs 10) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.