Piero Hincapié

The model rates Piero Hincapié's performance-implied value at EUR 35.8M-72.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 31.3M-72.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 29.2M-62.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1882 (55% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.14

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.10

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

98 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1864

Opponent strength

1612

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€29.2M – €62.9M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 32 pts; changed club; team strength up (+182 Elo); league level up (+120 Elo); role change CB -> LB; relative output down 31% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -1% (IQR -30% to +15%).

• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.