Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Neco Williams remove | Trai Hume remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Position | Left-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | Sunderland AFC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1635 | 1496 |
| League minutes | 3206 (94%) | 3039 (89%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 96 | 83 |
| Market value | €28.0M | €22.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €17.6M – €37.7M | €13.7M – €30.7M |
| Model value | €30.4M – €42.1M | €6.3M – €30.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.6M – €40.4M | €14.2M – €34.9M |
| Bargain Index | 37/100 | 57/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€17.6M – €37.7M Model value (performance-implied)€30.4M – €42.1M Projected value (24 months)€18.6M – €40.4M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€13.7M – €30.7M Model value (performance-implied)€6.3M – €30.5M Projected value (24 months)€14.2M – €34.9M Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Neco Williams and Trai Hume
- On value for money the model prefers Hume (Bargain Index 57 vs 37) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.