Trai Hume
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Trai Hume's performance-implied value at EUR 6.3M-30.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.7M-30.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 14.2M-34.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 57
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 83.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €22.5M vs market €22.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3039 (89% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1496
- Opponent strength
- 1609
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €14.2M – €34.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +12% (IQR -9% to +39%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sunderland AFC | Premier League | RB | 38 | 3039 | 89% | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 1609 | 1496 | 1.30 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Sunderland AFC | 2 | 210 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Bednarek Premier League · 2021 | 25 | €25.0M | €14.0M | fell |
| Wout Faes Premier League · 2023 | 25 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Jamaal Lascelles Premier League · 2018 | 25 | €15.0M | €14.5M | flat |
| Iñigo Martínez Laliga · 2015 | 24 | €12.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Joachim Andersen Premier League · 2022 | 26 | €25.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Shkodran Mustafi Laliga · 2016 | 24 | €20.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Tyrick Mitchell Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €25.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| James Tarkowski Premier League · 2019 | 27 | €18.0M | €25.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2022 | Linfield | Sunderland | €240k | €175k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Linfield Reser. | Linfield | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 31 May 2021 | Ballymena Utd | Linfield Reser. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 11 Sept 2020 | Linfield Reser. | Ballymena Utd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Linfield U18 | Linfield Reser. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.