Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Dan Ballard remove | Jaka Bijol remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 27 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Sunderland AFC · Premier League | Leeds United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1496 | 1521 |
| League minutes | 2148 (63%) | 1893 (55%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 83 | 87 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €20.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €14.0M – €30.7M | €13.1M – €28.2M |
| Model value | €6.5M – €22.9M | €12.5M – €29.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €11.1M – €26.1M | €8.4M – €18.9M |
| Bargain Index | 57/100 | 10/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€14.0M – €30.7M Model value (performance-implied)€6.5M – €22.9M Projected value (24 months)€11.1M – €26.1M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€13.1M – €28.2M Model value (performance-implied)€12.5M – €29.4M Projected value (24 months)€8.4M – €18.9M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Dan Ballard and Jaka Bijol
- On value for money the model prefers Ballard (Bargain Index 57 vs 10) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.