Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Trai Hume remove | Jake O'Brien remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Sunderland AFC · Premier League | Everton FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1496 | 1556 |
| League minutes | 3039 (89%) | 3124 (91%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 83 | 93 |
| Market value | €22.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €13.7M – €30.7M | €10.4M – €23.4M |
| Model value | €6.3M – €30.5M | €19.4M – €31.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €14.2M – €34.9M | €13.0M – €29.2M |
| Bargain Index | 57/100 | 75/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€13.7M – €30.7M Model value (performance-implied)€6.3M – €30.5M Projected value (24 months)€14.2M – €34.9M Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€10.4M – €23.4M Model value (performance-implied)€19.4M – €31.0M Projected value (24 months)€13.0M – €29.2M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Trai Hume and Jake O'Brien
- On value for money the model prefers O'Brien (Bargain Index 75 vs 57) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.