Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Walid Cheddira remove | Aiyegun Tosin remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | US Lecce · Serie A | FC Lorient · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1361 | 1420 |
| League minutes | 1211 (35%) | 1068 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 46 | 44 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €1.8M |
| Estimated acquisition | €784k – €2.3M | €609k – €1.7M |
| Model value | €1.3M – €3.1M | €1.4M – €3.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €795k – €2.4M | €730k – €1.9M |
| Bargain Index | 54/100 | 85/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€784k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €3.1M Projected value (24 months)€795k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€609k – €1.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €3.2M Projected value (24 months)€730k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Walid Cheddira and Aiyegun Tosin
- Cheddira has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.63 vs 0.51 per 90).
- Tosin is estimated to cost far less (€813k vs €1.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Tosin (Bargain Index 85 vs 54) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Cheddira Moderate, Tosin High.