Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Noah Atubolu remove | Luiz Júnior remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | Villarreal CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1551 | 1544 |
| League minutes | 3060 (100%) | 2520 (74%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 85 | 88 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €11.6M – €26.4M | €8.3M – €16.8M |
| Model value | €10.1M – €29.1M | €11.7M – €27.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €15.3M – €40.4M | €5.5M – €18.7M |
| Bargain Index | 89/100 | 51/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€11.6M – €26.4M Model value (performance-implied)€10.1M – €29.1M Projected value (24 months)€15.3M – €40.4M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€8.3M – €16.8M Model value (performance-implied)€11.7M – €27.0M Projected value (24 months)€5.5M – €18.7M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Noah Atubolu and Luiz Júnior
- Atubolu was used far more by the club (100% of minutes vs 74%).
- On value for money the model prefers Atubolu (Bargain Index 89 vs 51) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.