Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Danila Khotulev remove | David Sousa remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Orenburg · Premier Liga | Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1218 | 1225 |
| League minutes | 1983 (73%) | 2265 (74%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 21 | 29 |
| Market value | €900k | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €441k – €1.5M | €469k – €1.2M |
| Model value | €597k – €1.1M | €511k – €1.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €510k – €1.7M | €663k – €2.3M |
| Bargain Index | 43/100 | 77/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€441k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€597k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€510k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€469k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€511k – €1.6M Projected value (24 months)€663k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Danila Khotulev and David Sousa
- On value for money the model prefers Sousa (Bargain Index 77 vs 43) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Khotulev High, Sousa Moderate.