Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marc Aguado remove | Niklas Dorsch remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 28 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Elche CF · Laliga | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1389 | 1323 |
| League minutes | 2514 (74%) | 2269 (74%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 57 | 59 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.3M – €3.7M | €852k – €2.6M |
| Model value | €2.0M – €6.8M | €2.1M – €6.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.2M – €5.6M | €947k – €2.4M |
| Bargain Index | 97/100 | 47/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.7M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €6.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €5.6M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€852k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€2.1M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€947k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marc Aguado and Niklas Dorsch
- Aguado is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Aguado (Bargain Index 97 vs 47) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.