Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Souffian El Karouani remove | Mees de Wit remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 28 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | FC Utrecht · Eredivisie | AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1352 | 1393 |
| League minutes | 2835 (93%) | 2487 (81%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 57 | 45 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €9.5M – €19.2M | €2.3M – €6.7M |
| Model value | €1.0M – €4.8M | €773k – €2.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €7.4M – €19.3M | €2.8M – €6.0M |
| Bargain Index | 34/100 | 56/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€9.5M – €19.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €4.8M Projected value (24 months)€7.4M – €19.3M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €6.7M Model value (performance-implied)€773k – €2.1M Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €6.0M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Souffian El Karouani and Mees de Wit
- Karouani is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Wit is estimated to cost far less (€4.0M vs €12.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Wit (Bargain Index 56 vs 34) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.