Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Simon Graves remove | Krisztián Keresztes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | Dundee United FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1186 | 1178 |
| League minutes | 2681 (88%) | 2598 (88%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 20 | 21 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €350k |
| Estimated acquisition | €518k – €1.4M | €102k – €421k |
| Model value | €360k – €1.0M | €415k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €681k – €1.7M | €304k – €473k |
| Bargain Index | 62/100 | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€518k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€360k – €1.0M Projected value (24 months)€681k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€102k – €421k Model value (performance-implied)€415k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€304k – €473k Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Simon Graves and Krisztián Keresztes
- Keresztes is estimated to cost far less (€230k vs €962k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Keresztes (Bargain Index 91 vs 62) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.