Krisztián Keresztes

26 yrs · Centre-back · Hungary
Dundee United FC · Scottish Premiership · Foot: left · Height: 195 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: Data unavailable
Market value
€350k
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€102k – €421k
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€415k – €1.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€304k – €473k
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€6k – €1.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€102k – €421k
Model value (performance-implied)€415k – €1.2M
Projected value (24 months)€304k – €473k
Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Krisztián Keresztes's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.1M-0.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.

Bargain Index: 91

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average20.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.5 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €230k vs market €350k
Expected appreciationNeutral+8% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.31
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €350k

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2598 (88% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.10
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
21 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.31 (rank 26)
Team strength (Elo)
1178
Opponent strength
1217
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€304k – €473k

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -22% to +3%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
16 (DEF)
Relative output kept
90%–275%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
75%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Dundee United FCScottish PremiershipCB31259887%300.100.11121711770.31

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingDundee United FC4390011332
2025/26Scottish Fa CupDundee United FC218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jordan McGhee
Scottish Premiership · 2024
28€350k€100kfell
Mykyta Bezuglyi
Premier Liga · 2023
28€500k€500kflat
Nikolaos Vafeas
Super League 1 · 2024
27€400k€400kflat
Epaminondas Pantelakis
Super League 1 · 2021
26€500k€500kflat
Jeroen Tesselaar
Scottish Premiership · 2015
26€300k€250kflat
Ilya Putrya
Premier Liga · 2024
26€800k€500kfell
Franco Ferrari
Super League 1 · 2021
29€450k€500kflat
Dimitrios Goutas
Super League 1 · 2021
27€700k€2.7Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
31 May 2026Dundee UnitedNyíregyházaFree / loan€350k
15 Jul 2025NyíregyházaDundee UnitedFree / loan€300k
30 Aug 2024Dunajska StredaNyíregyházaFree / loan€200k
16 Feb 2024ETO FCDunajska StredaFree / loan€200k
19 Jan 2023DorogETO FCUnknown€25k
7 Jul 2021SC SopronDorogFree / loanData unavailable
6 Jul 2020Sárvár FCSC SopronFree / loanData unavailable
22 Aug 2019FC AjkaSárvár FCFree / loanData unavailable
13 Feb 2019Haladás U19FC AjkaFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Haladás U17Haladás U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Haladás Yth.Haladás U17UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.