Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Diego Costa removeIgor Diveev remove
Age2626
PositionCentre-backCentre-back
Club · leagueFK Krasnodar · Premier LigaPFK CSKA Moskva · Premier Liga
League strength0.560.56
Team strength (Elo)15361503
League minutes2377 (88%)2475 (92%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.110.14
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.070.08
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile7076
Market value€12.0M€10.0M
Estimated acquisition€7.6M – €15.5M€6.0M – €12.7M
Model value€3.6M – €12.1M€3.6M – €15.2M
Projected value (24m)€6.4M – €16.2M€5.2M – €13.4M
Bargain Index26/10042/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateHigh
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€7.6M – €15.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €12.1M
Projected value (24 months)€6.4M – €16.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€6.0M – €12.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €15.2M
Projected value (24 months)€5.2M – €13.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Diego Costa and Igor Diveev

  • On value for money the model prefers Diveev (Bargain Index 42 vs 26) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
  • Risk differs: Costa Moderate, Diveev High.