Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Álex Baena remove | Thiago Almada remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | Atlético de Madrid · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1619 | 1619 |
| League minutes | 1572 (46%) | 1312 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 88 | 69 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €15.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €27.2M – €48.4M | €8.5M – €18.8M |
| Model value | €18.1M – €45.1M | €5.1M – €17.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €17.6M – €42.2M | €8.0M – €23.9M |
| Bargain Index | 17/100 | 29/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€27.2M – €48.4M Model value (performance-implied)€18.1M – €45.1M Projected value (24 months)€17.6M – €42.2M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€8.5M – €18.8M Model value (performance-implied)€5.1M – €17.4M Projected value (24 months)€8.0M – €23.9M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Álex Baena and Thiago Almada
- Almada is estimated to cost far less (€13.6M vs €35.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Almada (Bargain Index 29 vs 17) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.