Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Gonçalo Inácio removeJakub Kiwior remove
Age2426
PositionCentre-backCentre-back
Club · leagueSporting CP · Liga PortugalFC Porto · Liga Portugal
League strength0.580.58
Team strength (Elo)16561594
League minutes2506 (82%)2217 (73%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.180.04
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.090.03
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile8689
Market value€40.0M€35.0M
Estimated acquisition€28.0M – €50.3M€26.3M – €44.5M
Model value€9.5M – €35.5M€12.2M – €40.0M
Projected value (24m)€23.5M – €49.3M€20.9M – €42.6M
Bargain Index31/10018/100
DevelopmentModerateLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskLowLow
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€28.0M – €50.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€9.5M – €35.5M
Projected value (24 months)€23.5M – €49.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€26.3M – €44.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€12.2M – €40.0M
Projected value (24 months)€20.9M – €42.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€35.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Gonçalo Inácio and Jakub Kiwior

  • On value for money the model prefers Inácio (Bargain Index 31 vs 18) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.