Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matej Kovar remove | Elías Ólafsson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | FC Midtjylland · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1606 | 1562 |
| League minutes | 2790 (91%) | 1620 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 75 | 57 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.5M – €11.9M | €1.4M – €4.9M |
| Model value | €3.1M – €12.7M | €1.2M – €6.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.9M – €17.5M | €1.8M – €7.9M |
| Bargain Index | 73/100 | 89/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.5M – €11.9M Model value (performance-implied)€3.1M – €12.7M Projected value (24 months)€4.9M – €17.5M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €4.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €6.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €7.9M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matej Kovar and Elías Ólafsson
- Ólafsson is estimated to cost far less (€2.4M vs €7.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ólafsson (Bargain Index 89 vs 73) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kovar Moderate, Ólafsson High.