Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Vítor Carvalho remove | Ricardo Mangas remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 28 |
| Position | Centre-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | SC Braga · Liga Portugal | Sporting CP · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1533 | 1620 |
| League minutes | 1062 (35%) | 1055 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 64 | 54 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.5M – €3.8M | €639k – €1.9M |
| Model value | €1.6M – €5.4M | €1.5M – €6.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.1M – €3.4M | €809k – €2.7M |
| Bargain Index | 11/100 | 66/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €3.8M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €5.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€639k – €1.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €6.0M Projected value (24 months)€809k – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Vítor Carvalho and Ricardo Mangas
- Mangas is estimated to cost far less (€1.3M vs €2.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mangas (Bargain Index 66 vs 11) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Carvalho Moderate, Mangas High.