Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gabriel Sara remove | Adam Gnezda Cerin remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Galatasaray · Super Lig | Panathinaikos Athlitikos Omilos · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1501 | 1465 |
| League minutes | 1840 (60%) | 1116 (48%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 68 | 57 |
| Market value | €27.0M | €4.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €18.4M – €30.8M | €1.8M – €5.0M |
| Model value | €2.7M – €13.0M | €1.4M – €5.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €13.1M – €26.4M | €1.7M – €4.4M |
| Bargain Index | 11/100 | 39/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€18.4M – €30.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.7M – €13.0M Projected value (24 months)€13.1M – €26.4M Dashed line: current market value (€27.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €5.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €5.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.7M – €4.4M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gabriel Sara and Adam Gnezda Cerin
- Cerin is estimated to cost far less (€3.2M vs €25.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Cerin (Bargain Index 39 vs 11) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.