Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Rio Hillen remove | Iva Gelashvili remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | NAC Breda · Eredivisie | Panserraikos Serres · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1118 | 1104 |
| League minutes | 2005 (66%) | 1416 (61%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 4 | 5 |
| Market value | €600k | €500k |
| Estimated acquisition | €245k – €905k | €159k – €532k |
| Model value | €287k – €571k | €250k – €642k |
| Projected value (24m) | €408k – €926k | €330k – €735k |
| Bargain Index | 70/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€245k – €905k Model value (performance-implied)€287k – €571k Projected value (24 months)€408k – €926k Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€159k – €532k Model value (performance-implied)€250k – €642k Projected value (24 months)€330k – €735k Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Rio Hillen and Iva Gelashvili
- Gelashvili is estimated to cost far less (€213k vs €526k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gelashvili (Bargain Index 98 vs 70) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.