Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nelson Abbey remove | Danila Khotulev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal | FC Orenburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1254 | 1218 |
| League minutes | 2091 (68%) | 1983 (73%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 22 | 21 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €869k – €2.7M | €441k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €518k – €1.2M | €597k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €852k – €3.0M | €510k – €1.7M |
| Bargain Index | 56/100 | 43/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 16% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€869k – €2.7M Model value (performance-implied)€518k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€852k – €3.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€441k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€597k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€510k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nelson Abbey and Danila Khotulev
- Khotulev is estimated to cost far less (€930k vs €1.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Abbey (Bargain Index 56 vs 43) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Abbey Moderate, Khotulev High.