Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Michael Olise remove | Bryan Mbeumo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Bayern Munich · Bundesliga | Manchester United · Premier League |
| League strength | 0.94 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1871 | 1715 |
| League minutes | 2320 (76%) | 2625 (77%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 1.40 | 0.48 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 100 | 98 |
| Market value | €150M | €75.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €113M – €214M | €47.0M – €97.9M |
| Model value | €62.7M – €138M | €45.7M – €93.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €83.9M – €157M | €41.4M – €84.2M |
| Bargain Index | 12/100 | 28/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€113M – €214M Model value (performance-implied)€62.7M – €138M Projected value (24 months)€83.9M – €157M Dashed line: current market value (€150M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€47.0M – €97.9M Model value (performance-implied)€45.7M – €93.9M Projected value (24 months)€41.4M – €84.2M Dashed line: current market value (€75.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Michael Olise and Bryan Mbeumo
- Olise is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Mbeumo plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.94); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Mbeumo is estimated to cost far less (€75.0M vs €163M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mbeumo (Bargain Index 28 vs 12) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.