Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ivan Smolcic remove | Thierry Correia remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 27 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Como 1907 · Serie A | Valencia CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1589 | 1497 |
| League minutes | 1665 (49%) | 1394 (41%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 60 | 61 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.8M – €4.2M | €776k – €2.1M |
| Model value | €1.7M – €9.2M | €1.8M – €5.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.0M – €6.3M | €1.1M – €3.5M |
| Bargain Index | 77/100 | 92/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €4.2M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €9.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.0M – €6.3M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€776k – €2.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €5.1M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.5M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ivan Smolcic and Thierry Correia
- Correia is estimated to cost far less (€1.0M vs €2.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Correia (Bargain Index 92 vs 77) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Smolcic Low, Correia Moderate.