Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Vicko Sevelj remove | Brad Lyons remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 29 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Dundee United FC · Scottish Premiership | Kilmarnock FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1178 | 1104 |
| League minutes | 2180 (73%) | 1988 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 20 | 11 |
| Market value | €650k | €350k |
| Estimated acquisition | €183k – €503k | €85k – €375k |
| Model value | €526k – €1.2M | €325k – €730k |
| Projected value (24m) | €331k – €1.0M | €161k – €338k |
| Bargain Index | 95/100 | 84/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€183k – €503k Model value (performance-implied)€526k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€331k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€650k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€85k – €375k Model value (performance-implied)€325k – €730k Projected value (24 months)€161k – €338k Dashed line: current market value (€350k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Vicko Sevelj and Brad Lyons
- Sevelj is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Sevelj (Bargain Index 95 vs 84) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Sevelj High, Lyons Moderate.