Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jan Paul van Hecke remove | Nathan Collins remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League | Brentford FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1611 | 1612 |
| League minutes | 3211 (94%) | 2972 (87%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 98 | 98 |
| Market value | €45.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €27.2M – €77.6M | €20.1M – €43.8M |
| Model value | €34.1M – €49.0M | €37.0M – €56.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €29.6M – €58.0M | €22.3M – €48.8M |
| Bargain Index | 34/100 | 53/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€27.2M – €77.6M Model value (performance-implied)€34.1M – €49.0M Projected value (24 months)€29.6M – €58.0M Dashed line: current market value (€45.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€20.1M – €43.8M Model value (performance-implied)€37.0M – €56.7M Projected value (24 months)€22.3M – €48.8M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jan Paul van Hecke and Nathan Collins
- On value for money the model prefers Collins (Bargain Index 53 vs 34) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.