Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Joe Mendes remove | Pedro Carvalho remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Samsunspor · Super Lig | GD Estoril Praia · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1310 | 1305 |
| League minutes | 1215 (40%) | 1249 (41%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 18 | 17 |
| Market value | €2.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €930k – €2.9M | €389k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €377k – €1.2M | €326k – €869k |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €3.7M | €493k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 53/100 | 35/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€930k – €2.9M Model value (performance-implied)€377k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€389k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€326k – €869k Projected value (24 months)€493k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Joe Mendes and Pedro Carvalho
- Carvalho plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Carvalho is estimated to cost far less (€940k vs €1.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mendes (Bargain Index 53 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Mendes Moderate, Carvalho High.