Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jhon Arias remove | Grady Diangana remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Wolverhampton Wanderers · Premier League | Elche CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1425 | 1389 |
| League minutes | 1124 (33%) | 929 (27%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 66 | 54 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €8.9M – €17.6M | €698k – €1.9M |
| Model value | €3.7M – €9.0M | €3.1M – €4.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.6M – €11.0M | €796k – €2.3M |
| Bargain Index | 1/100 | 87/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€8.9M – €17.6M Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €9.0M Projected value (24 months)€4.6M – €11.0M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€698k – €1.9M Model value (performance-implied)€3.1M – €4.6M Projected value (24 months)€796k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jhon Arias and Grady Diangana
- Arias plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.95); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Diangana is estimated to cost far less (€931k vs €12.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Diangana (Bargain Index 87 vs 1) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.