Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Guus Offerhaus remove | Rick Meissen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | SC Telstar · Eredivisie | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1216 | 1183 |
| League minutes | 2970 (97%) | 2513 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 13 | 16 |
| Market value | €800k | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €329k – €964k | €296k – €876k |
| Model value | €370k – €804k | €414k – €723k |
| Projected value (24m) | €599k – €1.5M | €540k – €1.7M |
| Bargain Index | 86/100 | 99/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€329k – €964k Model value (performance-implied)€370k – €804k Projected value (24 months)€599k – €1.5M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€296k – €876k Model value (performance-implied)€414k – €723k Projected value (24 months)€540k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Guus Offerhaus and Rick Meissen
- Offerhaus was used far more by the club (97% of minutes vs 82%).
- Meissen is estimated to cost far less (€394k vs €607k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Meissen (Bargain Index 99 vs 86) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.