Rick Meissen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Rick Meissen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.7M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.5M-1.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 99
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 16th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €394k vs market €800k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2513 (82% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.11
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 16 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1183
- Opponent strength
- 1304
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €540k – €1.7M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 57 pts; changed club; team strength down (-117 Elo); relative output up 175% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +17% (IQR +0% to +57%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 82 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 65%–166%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 78%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Excelsior Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 33 | 2513 | 82% | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1304 | 1183 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 20 | 762 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1333 | 1300 | 0.50 |
| 2023/24 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 21 | 876 | 29% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1408 | 1327 | 0.48 |
| 2022/23 | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | CB | 4 | 41 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1300 | 1394 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie | RB | 1 | 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1614 | 1358 | 0.60 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 224 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Knvb Beker | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apostolos Diamantis Super League 1 · 2023 | 23 | €700k | €350k | fell |
| Sergiy Chobotenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €600k | €1.0M | rose |
| Arthur Zagré Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €1.3M | €2.0M | rose |
| Oliver Sonne Superliga · 2023 | 23 | €800k | €2.7M | rose |
| Grégory Mertens Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 23 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Orest Lebedenko Premier Liga · 2021 | 23 | €500k | €500k | flat |
| Yevgen Martynenko Premier Liga · 2016 | 23 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Guillaume François Jupiler Pro League · 2014 | 24 | €700k | €800k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2025 | Sparta R. | Excelsior | Unknown | €500k |
| 30 Jan 2023 | Utrecht U21 | Sparta R. | Unknown | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Utrecht U19 | Utrecht U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Utrecht U17 | Utrecht U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Utrecht Youth | Utrecht U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Zeeburgia Yth. | Utrecht Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.