Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ilyas Chaira remove | Germán Valera remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Real Oviedo · Laliga | Elche CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1294 | 1389 |
| League minutes | 2461 (72%) | 2871 (84%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 52 | 60 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.9M – €5.7M | €2.5M – €7.3M |
| Model value | €1.5M – €8.0M | €2.9M – €9.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €6.9M | €3.6M – €10.7M |
| Bargain Index | 51/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €5.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €8.0M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €6.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €7.3M Model value (performance-implied)€2.9M – €9.5M Projected value (24 months)€3.6M – €10.7M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ilyas Chaira and Germán Valera
- Chaira has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.51 vs 0.42 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Valera (Bargain Index 97 vs 51) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.