Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pep Chavarría remove | José Gayà remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 31 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga | Valencia CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1518 | 1497 |
| League minutes | 2681 (78%) | 2462 (72%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 76 | 77 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.7M – €11.8M | €1.0M – €3.1M |
| Model value | €3.5M – €8.5M | €2.6M – €10.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.0M – €10.4M | €1.3M – €2.9M |
| Bargain Index | 23/100 | 35/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.7M – €11.8M Model value (performance-implied)€3.5M – €8.5M Projected value (24 months)€4.0M – €10.4M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €3.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.6M – €10.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.3M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pep Chavarría and José Gayà
- Chavarría is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Gayà is estimated to cost far less (€1.4M vs €8.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gayà (Bargain Index 35 vs 23) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Chavarría Low, Gayà Moderate.