Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Leopold Querfeld remove | Tiago Gabriel remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 21 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | 1.FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga | US Lecce · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1392 | 1352 |
| League minutes | 2704 (88%) | 3220 (94%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 64 | 57 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €15.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €13.6M – €31.0M | €7.5M – €19.8M |
| Model value | €4.2M – €15.6M | €2.2M – €14.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €11.8M – €35.1M | €11.2M – €31.0M |
| Bargain Index | 33/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 10% | 20% |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€13.6M – €31.0M Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €15.6M Projected value (24 months)€11.8M – €35.1M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€7.5M – €19.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €14.8M Projected value (24 months)€11.2M – €31.0M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Leopold Querfeld and Tiago Gabriel
- Gabriel is estimated to cost far less (€10.0M vs €22.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gabriel (Bargain Index 97 vs 33) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.