Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marius Mouandilmadji remove | Iván Barbero remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 27 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Samsunspor · Super Lig | FC Arouca · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1310 | 1310 |
| League minutes | 2050 (67%) | 1904 (62%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 48 | 37 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.0M – €8.0M | €379k – €1.0M |
| Model value | €983k – €3.3M | €790k – €2.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.3M – €7.0M | €466k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | 19/100 | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.0M – €8.0M Model value (performance-implied)€983k – €3.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.3M – €7.0M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€379k – €1.0M Model value (performance-implied)€790k – €2.1M Projected value (24 months)€466k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marius Mouandilmadji and Iván Barbero
- Barbero plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Barbero is estimated to cost far less (€506k vs €5.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Barbero (Bargain Index 91 vs 19) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Mouandilmadji Low, Barbero Moderate.