Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Tonni Adamsen remove | Jay-Roy Grot remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 28 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Silkeborg IF · Superliga | Odense Boldklub · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1213 | 1215 |
| League minutes | 1818 (92%) | 1621 (82%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.55 | 0.56 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 25 | 16 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €750k |
| Estimated acquisition | €491k – €1.6M | €224k – €665k |
| Model value | €377k – €996k | €479k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €451k – €1.1M | €378k – €945k |
| Bargain Index | 35/100 | 94/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€491k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€377k – €996k Projected value (24 months)€451k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€224k – €665k Model value (performance-implied)€479k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€378k – €945k Dashed line: current market value (€750k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Tonni Adamsen and Jay-Roy Grot
- Grot is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Grot has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.66 vs 0.57 per 90).
- Grot is estimated to cost far less (€299k vs €789k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Grot (Bargain Index 94 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Adamsen Moderate, Grot High.