Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Luís Esteves remove | Serginho remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal | CD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1303 | 1276 |
| League minutes | 2769 (91%) | 2582 (84%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 41 | 33 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.3M – €7.2M | €1.0M – €2.8M |
| Model value | €759k – €1.9M | €652k – €2.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.0M – €7.0M | €1.8M – €4.4M |
| Bargain Index | 42/100 | 93/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €7.2M Model value (performance-implied)€759k – €1.9M Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €7.0M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.0M – €2.8M Model value (performance-implied)€652k – €2.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €4.4M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Luís Esteves and Serginho
- Esteves has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.39 vs 0.30 per 90).
- Serginho is estimated to cost far less (€1.4M vs €4.6M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Serginho (Bargain Index 93 vs 42) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.